Still alive!

Hi guys, just a very quick post to say that i am still alive and well! I havent done any trading since my last post because of a lack of time! I’m moving to a new place and have spent much time flat hunting etc. All very exciting stuff.

This weekend sees the return of the European Leagues and i havent been following the football news enough to be in the know! Again i wont have any time to trade probably until the end of the month as i am away next weekend too, so in the meanwhile why not check out this betting advice site.OK the cynics will now grunt – ‘here goes another blog promoting betting sites’….Well to be perfectly honest with you I have given it a quick butchers and it really isnt bad as a news site for various sports. Fair enough, the traders will be ignoring the odds offered etc but a lot of us trade based on opinion and the more views you hear about a game the better your decision will be.

So the month has been a bit of a non event for the most part, I had high hopes with the great start i had but there’s more important things in life than trading – like having a roof over ur head! but its very marginal! Good luck everyone and let me know if you have any stand out bets for this weekend – cant resist a flutter!

Ta

 

Cheaters sometimes prosper

Well, I m sure i’m not alone in saying that tonight’s match was thoroughly entertaining, both to watch and to trade.

I thought Liverpool were too short at 1.37 pre game and backed them to be winning at ht. Greened up after N’Gog’s spectacular finish nicely, and backed over 2.5 as well.When Liverpool went 2-1 down i backed them in the match odds market but failed to green up and trade out when the controversial penalty as converted. I was positive they’d get the winner, but alas it never came. Nevermind.

Also traded a little on another action packed game in the U17 World Cup, and i would’ve made much more had the market not suspended midway through the 1st half due to a loss of picture. By the time it came back Spain were also down to 1o men! Still very fun, and i am now over the target of £700 profit. In fact im half way to £800, so a new short term goal will be £850 for now. I think if I advance in £100 ‘ticks’ it’ll be relatively easy to keep up the good discipline.

On another note, a comment was left on the previous post by wjwskill, who advised that the unders price was too high for the Liverpool game. It then came in to 2 from 2.28 in a matter of hours leading up to the game, and i am interested to know how one would go about calling which way a price will move as more money piles into a market. In this example from what i understand, punters came in and kept backing the unders, sending the price down.

Im very interested in pre game trading, although i dont think ill ever be able to resist picking spots in play while watching a game, but at least with pre game you’re not required to watch endless matches of football!

Comments always welcome people. Screenshot

 

Fab(regas) weekend, almost there…

Another outstanding performance by Cesc on the weekend saw Arsenal cruise past Wolves as expected. What with him being my fantasy league captain and also having backed overs for this game, if i see the man i’ll be giving him a high five. Lot of trading done this weekend, think i may be footballed out for now, and thankfully it wasn’t all in vain!

My target when  i started was to be on £700 at the close of the weekend, and by Saturday evening i had already shot past this point to my delight! Sunday was a bit more tricky though, and i was annoyed with myself for not sticking with my Chelsea prediction – as United kept pressing i backed them at ht! Oh well! Did the same with the Stoke game actually, need to have more faith in myself!

Interesting to see the early results of the poll, most people (although its close) trade the overs markets – funnily enough most of my trading this weekend was trading on goals too, however my records show that my only significantly profitable market is the match odds. The others are slightly up or down – i’ll provide detailed results and charts in a new section soon.

Also had some great luck with X Factor – laid Jedward to go out before it went to deadlock at 1.07! Not for too much but still! Also congrats to the Hayemaker!

All in all, i’m happy with my progress with the footy. I complained recently that consistency was becoming an issue, and although it’s not fully ironed out yet, i am getting better. At the moment i am keeping myself grounded by withdrawing down to a set amount at the end of each day. It’s very easy to get carried away with big numbers as ur bank grows, and a slip up and you have thrown away money that would hurt! But I hope that by the new year to be confident and successful enough to be trading with larger sums, while maintaining my strike rate and % profit. Either way i’m actually making gambling work which is definitely a first! Like I said in my previous post, I am a happy chappy.

Any thoughts on tonight’s game? Liverpool without Torres and Gerrard is a possibility and at 1.35 maybe look a little short?

Short term targets needed…

After a gentle, profitable evenings trading, I have realised that i havent set myself any short term targets recently and this could be a factor in my inconsistency. I spoke in another post about the positives of having something to aim for, and in the past it has helped. So for now my target is to hit £700 profit. I need to cut out the mistakes that are borne from irrational decisions and keep as much of my profit as possible. This could quite possibly be achieved by Saturday evening. As always we have a decent fixture list in the Premier League and La Liga for both weekend days and i feel the key is to not get involved in every game because it’s there. Especially on Saturdays where it’s set up so you have 4 games live in a row!

The most exciting tie i think for Saturday is the Madrid derby, and with Athletico on pretty dismal league form and Real under mounting pressure to perform there should be plenty of fireworks. Just hope that AM show up for this!

Another biggie is Chelsea v Man Utd on Sunday and I reckon this will be a relatively easy home win. United havent looked good this season for me and Chelsea, much as i hate to say it, are playing glorious football.

I’m gonna be setting up a poll as well so please take part, i’m quite interested to see what markets people prefer to trade on in general. Here’s a screenshot, couple more like this and i’ll a happy chappy come Sunday evening:

 

The joys of discipline

Not been the best week so far looking at the results, but swings are to be expected and it’s important to keep discipline and to not chase. This is why all in all i am pleased with my performance last night in the increasingly unpredictable Champions League.

Barcelona could not capitalize on their 75% possession for most of the game, and Inter left it too late for me! From Tuesday i was still a bit miffed with Chelsea’s defending and  QPR’s inability to close a game off, and the old me would have let a few bets ride on Wednesday night. The perfect example where it’s always good to follow your own rules was with Liverpool, where i greened up hugely.

Very late on at 0-0 i backed the ‘pool and when Babel’s screamer hit the back of the net i was very tempted to let the bet run for an extra £25. I greened up however and when Lyon equalized I had the biggest grin on my face and gave myself a pat on the back!

Looking at Monday’s result, I layed the draw for what i think is the last time. The numbers dont stack up for me, and like a lot of other traders have told me it is a losing system. Currently most of my profit comes from picking a team i think are looking good and greening up once they score. That, alongside the fluctuating performance of over/unders trading, is what keeps this boat afloat!

I have been mincing around the 100% profit mark for a while now and i havent been able to keep a steady profitable run going it seems. I think it’s largely to do with concentration and i will be trading only one game at a time (apart form 3pm Saturdays) to try and guarantee profitable results. Screenshot: